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The U.S. dollar has always been a keystone player in international trade and a vehicle of economic authority. However, several years back, publications and experts started addressing a common issue: the devaluation of the dollar. For people in the street, investors, or policymakers is an evasive financial term that is, in reality, a burning issue …
Continue reading “What Causes the U.S. Dollar to Lose Value?”
Currency war is a worldwide financial trend where nations lower their currencies intentionally to take advantage of the trade. In the beginning, people may think that a strong currency is a symbol of economic prosperity and security. Nevertheless, in the global trade and international finance sectors, a dollar that is too strong can be a …
Is the stock market overvalued? The question always arises whenever the market falls or valuations reach historical peaks. By early 2025, U.S. share markets are showing evidence of re-establishment after an AI-driven large-cap tech rally in late 2024. Many of the stocks have undergone significant price decreases within the last few months, which has contributed …
This institute provides a leading index on US economy based on some macro measurement. This article describes how to use the leading weekly index to anticipate US economy movement.
Volatility futures are typically in contango (S&P bull market) with some backwardation periods (S&P bear market). There is a reason to trade long volatility on market peaks when (a) there is no QE in US and (b) when the contango is relatively flat, and inverse volatility on market corrections otherwize. Flat volatility contango is also …
www.gurufocus.com offers a number of cool free features for those not willing to part with 400USD per year: 1. Guru trends industry 2. Guru scoreboard with easy access to individual portfolios by name. Unfortunately all data is delayed. 3. Concensus picks of many gurus 4. Insider trading is really updated, including trends 5. Rebalanced A, …
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This page holds several international indicators. Very good to see gold reserves, debt to gdp, growth rate etc. This page holds similar data.
This page includes simple market health indicators for US, India, Japan, REIT, MLP. Should be checked once per month when rebalancing momentum/sector rotation/equity-bonds allocations. For example, the price-to-book indicator is very interesting – since it is a proxy for the liquidation stock price. Investor fears are abundant, should be acknowledged but not overused.
Charting and trend analysis is very similar to astrology. There are woo many signals to decide anything. This blog offers a reasonable ~daily market analysis that supplements our fundamental understandings and offers new insight. The charts often give wrong signals, so be careful when charting.