Ideas: 1. Regulator policy is very hard to predict and it may well send the markets into months of turmoil 2. Fear indicators are building up: volatility, dollar, gold, silver – they are all very high 3. With US QE over and European/Japanese easing the US market changes its orientation. 4. Strong dollar keeps carry …
More 2015 predictions
2015 predictions geopolitical
Weekly market analysis
Weekly markets 1. Pay more attention to bonds 2. There is market correction every ~3 years, and the last one was ~2011 (play defensive) 3. Diversify market entry points every ~5 years or use fixed monthly/annual deposits- otherwise you may find yourself out of luck. I need to revise up the market-neutral positions. 4. Do …
Natural gas and oil
The oil falling 50% poses several questions. We speculate that (brent) oil is posed to break 45$ support sometimes in Feb and stay there for 3 months before going up to 80$ in December. The supporting information is not strong enough yet to support this speculation, so we do not bring it here. What we …
S&P target value
Current highs and lows starting form a long-term trend. Current S&P trend will stop around 2350, but it will be a bumpy (volatile) ride till we get there. Here is a technical analysis.
Common sense position tactics from Warren Buffett
Warren Buffett, Chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK-B), was in Detroit last month. The billionaire sat down with Quicken Loans Chairman and Founder Dan Gilbert, along with President and Chief Marketing Officer Jay Farner, for an hour-long chat. When asked about the philosophy that brought him an estimated net worth of about …
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Daily status
-Gas is up again due to cold weather forecast. Expected to nosedive when the cold is over due to excess production. -Oil is going further down. -Dollar reaches all time high. -Stocks try to recover Dec 31 losses following the dollar.